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Project ID: 09-1-09-2

Year: 2009

Date Started: 06/01/2009

Date Completed: 06/29/2012

Title: A Fire Prevention Effectiveness Assessment for Multiple Ownerships

Project Proposal Abstract: A Fire Prevention Effectiveness Assessment for Multiple Ownerships Fire managers and policy makers have a variety of means of intervening in fire processes to reduce the long-run discounted sum of costs and losses from wildfire. These include preventing and suppressing wildfires, managing fuels, preparing for their eventual arrival by pre-positioning resources, and investing in new fire management technologies. Existing tools for allocating fire prevention funds are based on expert opinions, not landscape-level statistical analyses. The proposed research in this study seeks to develop and provide to wildland management organizations estimates of the statistical efficacy of fire prevention spending. Statistical estimates will be provided first from a nearly completed analysis of fire prevention efficacy in Florida and from a study of fires on national forests in three Forest Service regions (3, 4, 5), Bureau of Land Management districts in Utah, and Bureau of Indian Affairs units nationwide. Fire prevention specialists from each of the three Forest Service regions and the Bureaus of Land Management and Indian Affairs will assist in fire prevention activity and budget data gathering. Analysts in the Southern Research Station and the National Institute of Standards and Technology will gather additional statistical data needed to estimate national forest-level prevention effectiveness statistical models. The proposal requests $93,907.07. The study will be completed within 22 months of its initiation, June 1, 2009.

Principal Investigator: Jeffrey P. Prestemon

Agency/Organization: Forest Service

Branch or Dept: SRS-Forestry Sciences Lab-Research Triangle Park

Other Project Collaborators




Branch or Dept

Federal Cooperator

Jeffrey P. Prestemon

Forest Service

SRS-Forestry Sciences Lab-Research Triangle Park

Federal Fiscal Representative

Shelly M. Gates

Forest Service

SRS-Southern Research Station

Project Locations

Fire Science Exchange Network


Oak Woodlands







Interior West





Project Deliverables

Final Report view or print

("Results presented in JFSP Final Reports may not have been peer-reviewed and should be interpreted as tentative until published in a peer-reviewed source.")

  ID Type Title
view or print   1373 Government Publication Initial Prevention Efficacy Parameter Estimates from a Florida Prevention Study
view or print go to website 1419 Government Publication The Economic Benefits of Wildfire Prevention Education
  go to website 3616 Journal Article International Journal of Wildland Fire
view or print   293 MS Thesis Geo-Spatial Analysis of Socioeconomic Risk Factors Affecting Wildfire Arson Occurrence in the Southeastern United States (P.T. Mothershead)
view or print   5725 Dataset (including spatial) Data on Fire Prevention Efforts From States and Other Locations in the U.S.
view or print   5550 Dataset (including spatial) Descriptive Statistics of Data Used in the Tribal Unit Modeling of Fire Prevention
view or print   5551 Dataset (including spatial) Estimates of the Marginal Effects of Fire Prevention Programs on Tribal Units in the U.S.
view or print   6006 Final Report Supplement STATA Program and Modeling Estimates for Binary Prevention Models for Selected Tribal Units in the U.S.

Supporting Documents

There are no supporting documents available for this project.

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