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Project ID: 15-1-03-26

Year: 2015

Date Started: 10/01/2015

Ending Date:  03/30/2019

Title: Landscape Impacts of Fire and Climate Change in the Southwest: A Science-Management Partnership

Project Proposal Abstract: This project will critically evaluate how fire regimes, fuels, and fire effects may shift across Southwest landscapes as climate changes, and assess the implications of changing regimes for management programs. Our project will develop formal scientist-manager partnerships to evaluate and interpret the diverse and rich body of information on southwestern climate-fire dynamics, develop and test new climate-management scenarios, and provide guidelines for managing regional resources under changing climate and fire regimes. In the first phase of our project, we will convene a workshop of regional scientists to synthesize current understanding of climate, fire, and vegetation (fuel) dynamics, building from existing literature and ongoing studies. In the second phase, a workshop brings together managers and scientists to identify emerging management challenges and develop climate and management scenarios, which will serve as inputs for the modeling phase. In the third phase, we will use existing models to produce new insights about potential future fire regimes changes and ecological tipping points, assess effectiveness of current management under these new regimes, and test new management options, using scenarios developed in Phases 1 and 2. The project will conclude with a fourth phase, in which managers and scientists will interpret model results and discuss the implications for current and future management practices in a Synthesis Workshop. We will share the results through manager-focused publications, webinars and presentations, and peer-reviewed articles. At the core of this process is a Vulnerability Assessment framework  a flexible, powerful tool that managers can use to identify at-risk resources and guide adaptive management. We will adapt the vulnerability assessment framework, typically focused on species responses to stressors, to assess potential climate-fire impacts on a broad array of natural resources. The Vulnerability Assessment framework will help identify potential tipping points and prioritize management strategies across the Southwest. Once developed, this framework can be applied to other regions and resources of interest. Our team of managers and scientists is uniquely qualified to lead this innovative, interdisciplinary project, with extensive expertise in climate and fire science, land, wildlife, and natural resource management, and the organization of people and logistics in complex workshops, meetings, and conferences.

Principal Investigator: Andrea E. Thode

Agency/Organization: Northern Arizona University

Branch or Dept: School of Forestry


Other Project Collaborators

Type

Name

Agency/Organization

Branch or Dept

Agreements Contact

Cindy D. Gordon

Forest Service

RMRS-Rocky Mountain Research Station

Budget Contact

Cindy D. Gordon

Forest Service

RMRS-Rocky Mountain Research Station

Co-Principal Investigator

Anne F. Bradley

The Nature Conservancy

NM-New Mexico Chapter Office

Co-Principal Investigator

Windy A. Bunn

NPS-National Park Service

Grand Canyon National Park

Co-Principal Investigator

Alexander M. Evans

Forest Guild

Co-Principal Investigator

Donald A. Falk

University of Arizona-Tucson

School of Natural Resources & the Environment

Co-Principal Investigator

William T. Flatley

Northern Arizona University

School of Forestry

Co-Principal Investigator

Megan M. Friggens

Forest Service

RMRS-Forestry Sciences Lab-Albuquerque

Co-Principal Investigator

Peter Z. Fule

Northern Arizona University

School of Forestry

Co-Principal Investigator

David F. Gori

The Nature Conservancy

NM-New Mexico Chapter Office

Co-Principal Investigator

Shaula J. Hedwall

FWS-Fish and Wildlife Service

Region 2-Ecological Services

Co-Principal Investigator

Robert E. Keane

Forest Service

RMRS-Fire, Fuel & Smoke Science Program

Co-Principal Investigator

Rachel A. Loehman

USGS-Geological Survey

ASC-Alaska Science Center

Co-Principal Investigator

F. J. Triepke

Forest Service

Region 3-Southwestern Region

Co-Principal Investigator

Craig P. Wilcox

Forest Service

Coronado NF-Safford Ranger District

Co-Principal Investigator

Larissa L. Yocom

Northern Arizona University

School of Forestry

Collaborator/Contributor

Tessa Nicolet

Forest Service

Region 3-Southwestern Region

Funding Cooperator

Robert E. Keane

Forest Service

RMRS-Fire, Fuel & Smoke Science Program


Project Locations

Fire Science Exchange Network

Southwest


Level

State

Agency

Unit

REGIONAL

Interior West

MULTIPLE


Project Deliverables

There is no final report available for this project.
There are no deliverables available for this project.

Supporting Documents

There are no supporting documents available for this project.

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