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Project ID: 12-1-08-31

Year: 2012

Date Started: 09/01/2012

Ending Date:  08/31/2015

Title: Particulate Matter Deterministic & Empirical Tagging & Assessment of Impacts on Levels (PMDETAIL)

Project Proposal Abstract: The 3-year PMDETAIL project will quantify the impact of prescribed and other fire sources on particulate matter (characterized as PM2.5 and PM10, hereafter PM) levels across the continental U.S. It will also develop new fire emissions inventories and computational modules for chemical transport models to simulate the atmospheric transformations of these emissions. The resulting models (CAMx and PMCAMx) and inventories will be evaluated against field measurements for 2002, 2008, and 2010. CAMx is a publicly available chemical transport model (CTM) used for regulatory purposes, while PMCAMx is its research version developed by the CMU team. We will leverage and significant extend emission inventory development and CAMx modeling from an ongoing JFSP study, Deterministic and Empirical Assessment of Smokes Contribution to Ozone (DEASCO3). To develop ranges of future fire impacts, we will analyze and assess the contribution of prescribed and other fire types to elevated PM episodes using the DEASCO3 and new inventories and the regulatory CAMx and research PMCAMx models from three historic years (2002, 2008, and 2010) and alternate future scenarios. PMDETAIL will deliver both regulatory assessments and investigate research-grade variations of the inventories and modeling tools and provide detailed comparisons of the two approaches in the predicted PM impacts. From the 3 historic years and 3 alternate future emission scenarios, we will identify up to 30 episode areas that capture a broad range of relationships of prescribed and other fire emissions on PM concentrations on an annual and/or 24-hour basis, with the intent of characterizing fires contribution across a wide geographic area of the continental U.S. Based on these results, we intend to publish fire emissions inventories data and results from CAMx and PMCAMx, in the form of technical products (e.g., maps, charts, tables, probability functions, etc) and as a PM exceedance vulnerability matrix or PM-EVM that rank orders the potential impact of prescribed fire emissions by location. This will enable FLMs to evaluate the effect of historic and future real-world decisions about prescribed burning and its effects on air quality in the context of both exceptional events and nonattainment SIPs for the PM standards, analogous to situations that FLMs will encounter in the future. This leveraging and coalescing of work from the JFSP-funded DEASCO3 and other JFSP projects and synergies with other regional emissions and modeling studies underway will provide comprehensive regulatory and research results for multiple historic years and alternate future scenarios of fire activity and associated emissions based on historic patterns.

Principal Investigator: Charles T. Moore Jr.

Agency/Organization: Western Governors Association

Branch or Dept: Air Quality Program

Other Project Collaborators

Type	Name	Agency/Organization	Branch or Dept
Budget Contact	Linda M Davis	Western Governors Association	Air Quality Program
Collaborator/Contributor	Ann L. Acheson	Forest Service	WO-Air Quality Program
Collaborator/Contributor	Bret A. Anderson	Forest Service	WO-Air Quality Program
Collaborator/Contributor	Michael G. Barna	NPS-National Park Service	Air Resources Division
Collaborator/Contributor	Jeffrey L Collett	Colorado State University	Department of Atmospheric Science
Collaborator/Contributor	Mark Fitch	NPS-National Park Service	NIFC-National Interagency Fire Center
Collaborator/Contributor	Michael H. George	NPS-National Park Service	Intermountain Regional Office
Collaborator/Contributor	Matthew E. Mavko	Air Sciences, Inc.
Collaborator/Contributor	Ralph E. Morris	ENVIRON International Corporation
Collaborator/Contributor	Sypros N. Pandis	Carnegie Mellon University	Chemical Engineering
Collaborator/Contributor	David M. Randall	Air Sciences, Inc.
Collaborator/Contributor	Allen L. Robinson	Colorado State University	Department of Atmospheric Science
Collaborator/Contributor	Amy P. Sullivan	Colorado State University	Department of Atmospheric Science
Collaborator/Contributor	John Vimont	NPS-National Park Service	Air Resources Division
Grants and Agreements Contact	Sara CE Lang	Western Governors Association
Lead Reviewer	Peter W. Lahm	Forest Service	WO-Fire & Aviation Management

Project Locations

Consortium

Alaska

Appalachian

California

Great Basin

Great Plains

Lake States

Oak Woodlands

Northern Rockies

Northwest

Pacific

South

Southern Rockies

Southwest

Tallgrass

Level	State	Agency	Unit
NATIONAL		N/A

Project Deliverables

There is no final report available for this project.
There are no deliverables available for this project.

Supporting Documents

There are no supporting documents available for this project.

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