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Project ID: 04-2-1-110

Year: 2004

Date Started: 07/23/2004

Date Completed: 01/02/2008

Title: Learning From the Past: Retrospective Analysis of Fire Behavior in Yosemite and Sequoia-Kings Canyon National Parks

Project Proposal Abstract: Yosemite and Sequoia-Kings Canyon National Parks have identified a critical need to be able to understand and track the consequences of their fire suppression decisions. To address this local research need, we will use retrospective fire behavior modeling and risk-benefit assessments for suppressed lightning ignitions that have occurred since 1991 in the two Parks. For the first time, the Parks will be able to quantify the consequences of their suppression decisions. We will determine where lightning ignitions would have spread had they not been suppressed and we will assess the effects that would have resulted from these fires. The proposed project combines fire behavior modeling technology with the information contained in the Parks' fire records and the local experience of the current fire management staff to better understand and quantify the consequences of suppression decisions. Results from our analyses will be compiled and presented in a GIS data library that will allow easy reference for managers during the fire season when making the decision whether or not to suppress, when preparing Stage III Wildland Fire Implementation Plan (WFIP) analyses, and when developing appropriate management response on suppression incidents. Furthermore, the project will develop methodology and step-by-step procedures for conducting these retrospective analyses so that Park fire management staff can update and add to this information resource annually. The information and understanding generated by this research will improve the prioritization and planning of fuels management activities by supplementing the Fire Return Interval Departure analysis that is routinely done by both Parks. The results of our analyses will allow park managers to frame future decisions and cost-benefit analyses in the context of past experiences, to track the cumulative effects of suppression, and to communicate tradeoffs to the public and other governmental entities. As all land managers need to understand and track the consequences of their fire management decisions, the methods we develop will have broad national applicability and will provide a template for conducting similar analyses.

Principal Investigator: Carol L. Miller

Agency/Organization: Forest Service

Branch or Dept: RMRS-Aldo Leopold Wilderness Research Institute


Other Project Collaborators

Type

Name

Agency/Organization

Branch or Dept

Co-Principal Investigator

Anne E. Black

Forest Service

RMRS-Forestry Sciences Lab-Missoula

Federal Cooperator

Carol L. Miller

Forest Service

RMRS-Aldo Leopold Wilderness Research Institute


Project Locations

Consortium

California


There are no project locations identified for this project.

Project Deliverables

Final Report view or print

("Results presented in JFSP Final Reports may not have been peer-reviewed and should be interpreted as tentative until published in a peer-reviewed source.")

  ID Type Title
view or print   1677 Government Publication Journal article: Quantifying the Consequences of Fire Suppression in Two California National Parks. The George Wright Forum.
view or print   1454 Government Publication Web material: Learning from the Past: Retrospective Analyses of Fire Behavior in Yosemite and Sequoia-Kings Canyon National Parks
view or print   1455 Government Publication General Technical Report: Retrospective Fire Modeling: Quantifying the Impacts of Fire Suppression.
view or print   3034 Journal Article Park Science
view or print   1223 Progress Report  
view or print   1280 Progress Report  
view or print   1401 Poster Retrospective Fire Modeling to Quantify the Cumulative Effects of Suppression
    1402 Computer Model/Software/Algorithm  
    1403 Field Demonstration/Tour  
    1404 Training Session  
  go to website 1965 Website  
    2019 Invited Paper/Presentation Research to Support Wildland Fire Use Decisions in Yosemite National Park
view or print   2020 Poster Retrospective Fire Modeling to Quantify the Cumulative Effects of Suppression
    2021 Dataset (including spatial) GIS Map Library of Potential Fire Spread for South Fork of The Merced River, Yosemite NP
    2022 Dataset (including spatial) GIS Map Library of Potential Fire Spread for Kaweah Watershed, Sequoia-Kings Canyon NP
view or print   4292 Poster What if We Didn’t Suppress Fire?
view or print   6862 Invited Paper/Presentation Research to Support Wildland Fire Use Decisions in Yosemite NP

Supporting Documents

There are no supporting documents available for this project.

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