Print Friendly and PDF


Advanced Search Results Detail

Project ID: 03-1-1-22

Year: 2003

Date Started: 07/29/2003

Date Completed: 11/08/2007

Title: Fire-Climate Interactions and Predicting Fire Season Severity in the Mediterranean Climate Areas of California, Southern Oregon, and Western Nevada

Project Proposal Abstract: Climate strongly influences the occurrence and extent of fires and managers desire the ability to predict problematic fire seasons in advance. Currently, they must wait until the climatic pattern for the current year is well in place before the potential severity of the coming fire season becomes apparent. However, hemispheric atmospheric circulation patterns are predictable to an extent (weeks to years) depending on the teleconnections involved. Consequently, there is the potential to use the predictability of hemispheric atmospheric circulation patterns to predict classes of fire season severity. In order to develop and evaluate this approach to predicting fire season severity, the functional links between fire activity and patterns of atmospheric circulation must be identified over a range of spatial and temporal scales. The goal of this project is to identify the relationships of inter-annual and intra-decadal climate variation and multi-decadal and multi-century climate change on sub-regional variation in montane forest fire regimes in the Mediterranean Climate Area (MCA) of the Pacific Coast. Specific objectives are to: 1) determine how the dominant modes of climatic circulation (El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific/North America pattern (PNA), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)) are related to surface fire weather (i.e. fire danger rating indices), secondary circulation features (i.e. pressure systems, jet streams) and spatial and temporal variation in 20th century fire extent; 2) determine how multi-century records of fire extent, climate variability, climatic change, dominant circulation modes (ENSO,PNA,PDO) and fire danger rating indices vary within MCA; and 3) identify the key variables associated with circulation modes that can be used for spatially explicit prediction of problematic fire seasons in different parts of MCA months to years in advance. Technology transfer will occur with a combination of written materials, visual representations of fire/climate relationships, presentations to agency staff and interagency organizations, and a world wide web site.

Principal Investigator: Carl N. Skinner

Agency/Organization: Forest Service

Branch or Dept: PSW-Silviculture Lab-Redding


Other Project Collaborators

Type

Name

Agency/Organization

Branch or Dept

Co-Principal Investigator

Andrew M. Carleton

Pennsylvania State University

Department of Geography

Co-Principal Investigator

Walter Herzog

BLM-Bureau of Land Management

Redding Field Office

Co-Principal Investigator

John Karish

NPS-National Park Service

Northeast Region-Integrated Pest Management

Co-Principal Investigator

Scott L. Stephens

University of California-Berkeley

Department of Environmental Sciences-Policy & Management

Co-Principal Investigator

Alan H. Taylor

Pennsylvania State University

Department of Geography

Federal Cooperator

James H. Perkins

Forest Service

Klamath National Forest


Project Locations

Consortium

California

Great Basin

Northwest


There are no project locations identified for this project.

Project Deliverables

Final Report view or print

("Results presented in JFSP Final Reports may not have been peer-reviewed and should be interpreted as tentative until published in a peer-reviewed source.")

  ID Type Title
    1637 Government Publication The Contemporary Relationship Between Fire and Climate in the Mediterranean Climate Areas of California
    1221 Government Publication Latitudinal Gradient of Fire Regime Responses to Pacific Teleconnections in Western North America
view or print   2563 Journal Article Geophysical Research Letters
view or print   2564 Journal Article Theoretical and Applied Climatology
    2565 Journal Article Fire History and Climate Influences from Forests in the Northern Sierra Nevada, USA
    2566 Journal Article Influence of Humans and Climate on the Fire History of a Ponderosa Pine-Mixed Conifer Forest in the Southeastern Klamath Mountains, California
    2567 Journal Article Spatial and Temporal Variation in Fire Regimes Along a Mixed Conifer Forest Gradient in the Northern Sierra Nevada, California
view or print   2568 Journal Article International Journal of Wildland Fire
    2569 Journal Article Influences of Climate on Fire Regimes in Montane Forests of Northwestern Mexico
    2759 Journal Article Climatic Influences on Fire Regimes in the Northern Sierra Nevada, Lake Tahoe, Nevada, USA
    2761 Journal Article Drought Triggered Tree Mortality in Mixed Conifer Forests in Yosemite National Park, California, USA
    3311 Journal Article Fire History and the Structure and Dynamics of a Mixed Conifer Forest Landscape in the Northern Sierra Nevada, Lake Tahoe Basin, California
    1461 Invited Paper/Presentation USDA Forest Service Global Change/RPA
    1574 Invited Paper/Presentation Fire History and Climate Synthesis in Western North America
    1575 Invited Paper/Presentation Fire-Climate Interactions in the Mediterranean Climate Areas of California and Southern Oregon
    1576 Invited Paper/Presentation Fire-Climate Interactions in the Northern Sierra Nevada
    1577 Invited Paper/Presentation Multidecadal Variability of Fire Weather and Fire Extent in Northern California and Oregon
    1578 Invited Paper/Presentation Fire Regimes of Dryer Forests in the Range of the Northern Spotted Owl
    1579 Invited Paper/Presentation How Can Vegetation Managers Respond to Projected Climate Change and Increased Fire Activity in California?
    1580 Invited Paper/Presentation Lessons From Fire History: Developing Landscape Strategies for Fire and Resource Management
    2671 Conference/Symposia/Workshop Climatic Influences on Fire Regimes in the Lake Tahoe Basin
    2672 Conference/Symposia/Workshop Climatic Influences on Fire Regimes in Yosemite National Park, California
    2673 Conference/Symposia/Workshop Latitudinal Gradient of Fire Regime Responses to Pacific Teleconnections in Western North America
    2674 Invited Paper/Presentation Should Climate Change Affect Our Fire and Vegetation Management Practices?
    2675 Invited Paper/Presentation Should Climate Change Affect Our Fire and Vegetation Management Practices
    2676 Invited Paper/Presentation Should Climate Change Affect Our Fire and Vegetation Management Practices?
    2451 Conference/Symposia/Workshop Fire-Climate Interactions in the Mediterranean Climate Areas of California and Southern Oregon
    2677 Invited Paper/Presentation Human and Climatic Influences on Forests and Fire Regimes in the Northern Sierra Nevada Lake Tahoe Basin, USA
    2678 Invited Paper/Presentation Human and Climatic Influences on Forests and Fire Regimes in the Northern Sierra Nevada Lake Tahoe Basin, USA
    2679 Invited Paper/Presentation Silviculture and Forest Management Under a Rapidly Changing Climate
    2501 Conference/Symposia/Workshop Spatial and Temporal Variations in Precipitation in U.S.Western Coastal States and Their Relationship to Atmospheric Circulation
    5683 Invited Paper/Presentation A Tree-Ring Derived Fire Weather Reconstruction and Climatology for Northern California and Oregon
    5698 Conference/Symposia/Workshop Fire-Climate Interactions in Northern California
    5699 Invited Paper/Presentation Climatic Influences on Fire Regimes in the Lake Tahoe Basin
    5700 Invited Paper/Presentation Annual and Decadal Climatic Influences on Fire Regimes in Mid-Montane Conifer Forests in the Southern Cascades
    5701 Invited Paper/Presentation Influence of Climate on Fire Regimes in the North American Mediterranean Climate Zone
    5650 Invited Paper/Presentation Human and Climatic Influences on Forests and Fire Regimes in the Northern Sierra Nevada Lake Tahoe Basin, USA

Supporting Documents

The following supporting documents are available for this project.

view or print

Brief


Convert PDF documents to an html document using Adobe's online conversion tool.
Download Adobe Acrobat Reader